FCB vs COM
Barcelona (home) vs Como · model confidence 84%
Match Outcome
FCB win 70.9% fair 1.41
Draw 13.8% fair 7.24
COM win 15.3% fair 6.54
Cross-league European prediction: domestic live ratings shifted by league-strength offsets. Domestic Power tables are not comparable across leagues.
Expected Goals
FCB
3.39
—
1.51
COM
| Over 2.5 goals | 86.7% | fair 1.15 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 13.3% | fair 7.53 |
| Both teams to score | 75.4% | fair 1.33 |
Most Likely Scores
| FCB 3-1 COM | 7.3% | |
| FCB 2-1 COM | 6.4% | |
| FCB 4-1 COM | 6.2% | |
| FCB 3-2 COM | 5.5% | |
| FCB 2-2 COM | 4.9% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 4.3 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 4.8 | 7.3 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 4.1 | 6.2 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 5+ | 5.6 | 8.5 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
Rows: FCB goals · Columns: COM goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).
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