BAY vs BET
Bayern Munich (home) vs Real Betis · model confidence 87%
Match Outcome
BAY win 73.9% fair 1.35
Draw 13.3% fair 7.53
BET win 12.8% fair 7.82
Cross-league European prediction: domestic live ratings shifted by league-strength offsets. Domestic Power tables are not comparable across leagues.
Expected Goals
BAY
3.28
—
1.27
BET
| Over 2.5 goals | 83.2% | fair 1.20 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 16.8% | fair 5.95 |
| Both teams to score | 69.2% | fair 1.44 |
Most Likely Scores
| BAY 3-1 BET | 7.9% | |
| BAY 2-1 BET | 7.2% | |
| BAY 4-1 BET | 6.5% | |
| BAY 3-0 BET | 6.2% | |
| BAY 2-0 BET | 5.7% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 3.5 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 5.7 | 7.2 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 6.2 | 7.9 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 5.1 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 6.5 | 8.3 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
Rows: BAY goals · Columns: BET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).
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