BET vs ARS
Real Betis (home) vs Arsenal · model confidence 87%
Match Outcome
BET win 16.6% fair 6.02
Draw 17.9% fair 5.59
ARS win 65.5% fair 1.53
Cross-league European prediction: domestic live ratings shifted by league-strength offsets. Domestic Power tables are not comparable across leagues.
Expected Goals
BET
0.98
—
2.37
ARS
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.0% | fair 1.54 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35.0% | fair 2.85 |
| Both teams to score | 56.5% | fair 1.77 |
Most Likely Scores
| BET 0-2 ARS | 9.9% | |
| BET 1-2 ARS | 9.7% | |
| BET 0-1 ARS | 8.3% | |
| BET 1-1 ARS | 8.2% | |
| BET 0-3 ARS | 7.8% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.5 | 8.3 | 9.9 | 7.8 | 4.6 | 3.4 |
| 1 | 3.4 | 8.2 | 9.7 | 7.6 | 4.5 | 3.4 |
| 2 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| 3 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: BET goals · Columns: ARS goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).
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