EDGERATING
Methodology

BET vs COM

Real Betis (home) vs Como · model confidence 81%

Match Outcome

BET win 41.3% fair 2.42
Draw 21.3% fair 4.69
COM win 37.4% fair 2.67

Cross-league European prediction: domestic live ratings shifted by league-strength offsets. Domestic Power tables are not comparable across leagues.

Expected Goals

BET 1.87 — 1.81 COM
Over 2.5 goals71.2%fair 1.41
Under 2.5 goals28.8%fair 3.47
Both teams to score70.8%fair 1.41

Most Likely Scores

BET 1-1 COM8.5%
BET 2-1 COM8.0%
BET 1-2 COM7.7%
BET 2-2 COM7.2%
BET 3-1 COM5.0%

Scoreline Matrix

012345+
0 2.5 4.6 4.1 2.5 1.1 0.6
1 4.7 8.5 7.7 4.7 2.1 1.1
2 4.4 8.0 7.2 4.4 2.0 1.0
3 2.8 5.0 4.5 2.7 1.2 0.6
4 1.3 2.3 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.3
5+ 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.2

Rows: BET goals · Columns: COM goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).

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