BVB vs BET
Borussia Dortmund (home) vs Real Betis · model confidence 85%
Match Outcome
BVB win 55.1% fair 1.81
Draw 20.8% fair 4.80
BET win 24.0% fair 4.16
Cross-league European prediction: domestic live ratings shifted by league-strength offsets. Domestic Power tables are not comparable across leagues.
Expected Goals
BVB
2.08
—
1.28
BET
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.1% | fair 1.54 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34.9% | fair 2.87 |
| Both teams to score | 63.1% | fair 1.59 |
Most Likely Scores
| BVB 2-1 BET | 9.6% | |
| BVB 1-1 BET | 9.3% | |
| BVB 2-0 BET | 7.5% | |
| BVB 1-0 BET | 7.3% | |
| BVB 3-1 BET | 6.7% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.3 | 9.3 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 9.6 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 5.2 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Rows: BVB goals · Columns: BET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).
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