BVB vs INT
Borussia Dortmund (home) vs Inter Milan · model confidence 86%
Match Outcome
BVB win 42.3% fair 2.36
Draw 21.0% fair 4.77
INT win 36.7% fair 2.73
Cross-league European prediction: domestic live ratings shifted by league-strength offsets. Domestic Power tables are not comparable across leagues.
Expected Goals
BVB
1.97
—
1.85
INT
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.4% | fair 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 26.6% | fair 3.76 |
| Both teams to score | 72.5% | fair 1.38 |
Most Likely Scores
| BVB 1-1 INT | 8.0% | |
| BVB 2-1 INT | 7.9% | |
| BVB 1-2 INT | 7.4% | |
| BVB 2-2 INT | 7.3% | |
| BVB 3-1 INT | 5.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.2 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 4.3 | 8.0 | 7.4 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| 2 | 4.3 | 7.9 | 7.3 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| 3 | 2.8 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
Rows: BVB goals · Columns: INT goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).
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