INT vs LIV
Inter Milan (home) vs Liverpool · model confidence 87%
Match Outcome
INT win 35.5% fair 2.82
Draw 20.3% fair 4.91
LIV win 44.2% fair 2.26
Cross-league European prediction: domestic live ratings shifted by league-strength offsets. Domestic Power tables are not comparable across leagues.
Expected Goals
INT
1.87
—
2.14
LIV
| Over 2.5 goals | 76.3% | fair 1.31 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 23.7% | fair 4.23 |
| Both teams to score | 74.6% | fair 1.34 |
Most Likely Scores
| INT 1-2 LIV | 7.8% | |
| INT 2-2 LIV | 7.3% | |
| INT 1-1 LIV | 7.3% | |
| INT 2-1 LIV | 6.8% | |
| INT 1-3 LIV | 5.6% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.8 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 | 3.4 | 7.3 | 7.8 | 5.6 | 3.0 | 1.9 |
| 2 | 3.2 | 6.8 | 7.3 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
Rows: INT goals · Columns: LIV goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).
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