MUN vs ROM
Manchester United (home) vs Roma · model confidence 82%
Match Outcome
MUN win 43.1% fair 2.32
Draw 21.3% fair 4.69
ROM win 35.6% fair 2.81
Cross-league European prediction: domestic live ratings shifted by league-strength offsets. Domestic Power tables are not comparable across leagues.
Expected Goals
MUN
1.92
—
1.75
ROM
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.9% | fair 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 29.1% | fair 3.44 |
| Both teams to score | 70.5% | fair 1.42 |
Most Likely Scores
| MUN 1-1 ROM | 8.6% | |
| MUN 2-1 ROM | 8.2% | |
| MUN 1-2 ROM | 7.5% | |
| MUN 2-2 ROM | 7.2% | |
| MUN 3-1 ROM | 5.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.6 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 4.9 | 8.6 | 7.5 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| 2 | 4.7 | 8.2 | 7.2 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 5.2 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
Rows: MUN goals · Columns: ROM goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).
Try Another Matchup
Pick two big-five teams currently in this competition's fixture list.