BVB vs SGE
Borussia Dortmund (home) vs Eintracht Frankfurt · model confidence 80%
Match Outcome
BVB win 65.2% fair 1.53
Draw 17.4% fair 5.76
SGE win 17.5% fair 5.72
Expected Goals
BVB
2.71
—
1.26
SGE
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.6% | fair 1.32 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 24.4% | fair 4.10 |
| Both teams to score | 66.8% | fair 1.50 |
Most Likely Scores
| BVB 2-1 SGE | 8.7% | |
| BVB 3-1 SGE | 7.9% | |
| BVB 2-0 SGE | 7.0% | |
| BVB 1-1 SGE | 6.5% | |
| BVB 3-0 SGE | 6.3% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 5.1 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.0 | 8.7 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 6.3 | 7.9 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 4.2 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 3.9 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
Rows: BVB goals · Columns: SGE goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).