SGE vs RBL
Eintracht Frankfurt (home) vs RB Leipzig · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
SGE win 28.4% fair 3.52
Draw 19.7% fair 5.08
RBL win 51.9% fair 1.93
Expected Goals
SGE
1.70
—
2.44
RBL
| Over 2.5 goals | 78.2% | fair 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 21.8% | fair 4.59 |
| Both teams to score | 74.6% | fair 1.34 |
Most Likely Scores
| SGE 1-2 RBL | 8.1% | |
| SGE 2-2 RBL | 6.8% | |
| SGE 1-1 RBL | 6.6% | |
| SGE 1-3 RBL | 6.6% | |
| SGE 2-1 RBL | 5.6% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| 1 | 2.7 | 6.6 | 8.1 | 6.6 | 4.0 | 3.2 |
| 2 | 2.3 | 5.6 | 6.8 | 5.6 | 3.4 | 2.7 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
Rows: SGE goals · Columns: RBL goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).