SGE vs VFB
Eintracht Frankfurt (home) vs VfB Stuttgart · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
SGE win 34.9% fair 2.86
Draw 21.1% fair 4.75
VFB win 44.0% fair 2.27
Expected Goals
SGE
1.81
—
2.11
VFB
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.1% | fair 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 24.9% | fair 4.01 |
| Both teams to score | 73.6% | fair 1.36 |
Most Likely Scores
| SGE 1-2 VFB | 8.0% | |
| SGE 1-1 VFB | 7.6% | |
| SGE 2-2 VFB | 7.2% | |
| SGE 2-1 VFB | 6.8% | |
| SGE 1-3 VFB | 5.6% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.0 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 | 3.6 | 7.6 | 8.0 | 5.6 | 3.0 | 1.9 |
| 2 | 3.2 | 6.8 | 7.2 | 5.1 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
Rows: SGE goals · Columns: VFB goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).