SCF vs SGE
SC Freiburg (home) vs Eintracht Frankfurt · model confidence 81% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
SCF win 54.0% fair 1.85
Draw 20.2% fair 4.96
SGE win 25.8% fair 3.88
Expected Goals
SCF
2.32
—
1.53
SGE
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.0% | fair 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 26.0% | fair 3.85 |
| Both teams to score | 70.8% | fair 1.41 |
Most Likely Scores
| SCF 2-1 SGE | 8.7% | |
| SCF 1-1 SGE | 7.5% | |
| SCF 3-1 SGE | 6.8% | |
| SCF 2-2 SGE | 6.7% | |
| SCF 1-2 SGE | 5.8% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 4.9 | 7.5 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.7 | 8.7 | 6.7 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 4.4 | 6.8 | 5.2 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 2.6 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 1.9 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
Rows: SCF goals · Columns: SGE goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).