VFB vs SGE
VfB Stuttgart (home) vs Eintracht Frankfurt · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
VFB win 58.2% fair 1.72
Draw 19.0% fair 5.27
SGE win 22.9% fair 4.37
Expected Goals
VFB
2.54
—
1.51
SGE
| Over 2.5 goals | 76.9% | fair 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 23.1% | fair 4.32 |
| Both teams to score | 71.8% | fair 1.39 |
Most Likely Scores
| VFB 2-1 SGE | 8.5% | |
| VFB 3-1 SGE | 7.2% | |
| VFB 1-1 SGE | 6.7% | |
| VFB 2-2 SGE | 6.4% | |
| VFB 2-0 SGE | 5.6% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 4.4 | 6.7 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.6 | 8.5 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 4.8 | 7.2 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 3.0 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ | 2.5 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
Rows: VFB goals · Columns: SGE goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).