VFB vs RBL
VfB Stuttgart (home) vs RB Leipzig · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
VFB win 38.8% fair 2.57
Draw 21.6% fair 4.63
RBL win 39.6% fair 2.53
Expected Goals
VFB
1.87
—
1.92
RBL
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.9% | fair 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 27.1% | fair 3.69 |
| Both teams to score | 72.2% | fair 1.39 |
Most Likely Scores
| VFB 1-1 RBL | 8.1% | |
| VFB 1-2 RBL | 7.8% | |
| VFB 2-1 RBL | 7.6% | |
| VFB 2-2 RBL | 7.3% | |
| VFB 1-3 RBL | 5.0% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 4.2 | 8.1 | 7.8 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| 2 | 3.9 | 7.6 | 7.3 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
Rows: VFB goals · Columns: RBL goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).