ARS vs BOU
Arsenal (home) vs AFC Bournemouth · model confidence 81%
Match Outcome
ARS win 71.8% fair 1.39
Draw 16.3% fair 6.12
BOU win 11.9% fair 8.43
Expected Goals
ARS
2.52
—
0.79
BOU
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.3% | fair 1.56 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35.7% | fair 2.80 |
| Both teams to score | 50.1% | fair 2.00 |
Most Likely Scores
| ARS 2-0 BOU | 11.6% | |
| ARS 3-0 BOU | 9.8% | |
| ARS 1-0 BOU | 9.2% | |
| ARS 2-1 BOU | 9.1% | |
| ARS 3-1 BOU | 7.7% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 9.2 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 11.6 | 9.1 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 9.8 | 7.7 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 6.2 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 5.1 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: ARS goals · Columns: BOU goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).