ARS vs EVE
Arsenal (home) vs Everton · model confidence 83%
Match Outcome
ARS win 70.3% fair 1.42
Draw 18.1% fair 5.53
EVE win 11.6% fair 8.63
Expected Goals
ARS
2.21
—
0.65
EVE
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.4% | fair 1.84 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45.6% | fair 2.19 |
| Both teams to score | 42.4% | fair 2.36 |
Most Likely Scores
| ARS 2-0 EVE | 14.0% | |
| ARS 1-0 EVE | 12.7% | |
| ARS 3-0 EVE | 10.3% | |
| ARS 2-1 EVE | 9.1% | |
| ARS 1-1 EVE | 8.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 12.7 | 8.2 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 14.0 | 9.1 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 10.3 | 6.7 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 3.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: ARS goals · Columns: EVE goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).