BOU vs LIV
AFC Bournemouth (home) vs Liverpool · model confidence 80%
Match Outcome
BOU win 26.3% fair 3.81
Draw 21.7% fair 4.62
LIV win 52.1% fair 1.92
Expected Goals
BOU
1.28
—
2.04
LIV
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.5% | fair 1.55 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35.5% | fair 2.81 |
| Both teams to score | 62.8% | fair 1.59 |
Most Likely Scores
| BOU 1-2 LIV | 9.6% | |
| BOU 1-1 LIV | 9.4% | |
| BOU 0-2 LIV | 7.5% | |
| BOU 0-1 LIV | 7.4% | |
| BOU 1-3 LIV | 6.5% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6 | 7.4 | 7.5 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 | 4.6 | 9.4 | 9.6 | 6.5 | 3.3 | 2.0 |
| 2 | 3.0 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Rows: BOU goals · Columns: LIV goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).