BRE vs EVE
Brentford (home) vs Everton · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
BRE win 48.5% fair 2.06
Draw 25.1% fair 3.99
EVE win 26.4% fair 3.78
Expected Goals
BRE
1.57
—
1.07
EVE
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.2% | fair 2.03 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50.8% | fair 1.97 |
| Both teams to score | 52.0% | fair 1.92 |
Most Likely Scores
| BRE 1-1 EVE | 12.0% | |
| BRE 1-0 EVE | 11.2% | |
| BRE 2-1 EVE | 9.4% | |
| BRE 2-0 EVE | 8.8% | |
| BRE 0-1 EVE | 7.6% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1 | 7.6 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.2 | 12.0 | 6.4 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.8 | 9.4 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: BRE goals · Columns: EVE goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).