BRE vs LIV
Brentford (home) vs Liverpool · model confidence 82%
Match Outcome
BRE win 27.5% fair 3.64
Draw 22.4% fair 4.47
LIV win 50.1% fair 1.99
Expected Goals
BRE
1.28
—
1.93
LIV
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.2% | fair 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37.8% | fair 2.64 |
| Both teams to score | 61.7% | fair 1.62 |
Most Likely Scores
| BRE 1-1 LIV | 10.0% | |
| BRE 1-2 LIV | 9.6% | |
| BRE 0-1 LIV | 7.8% | |
| BRE 0-2 LIV | 7.5% | |
| BRE 2-1 LIV | 6.4% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0 | 7.8 | 7.5 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 | 5.2 | 10.0 | 9.6 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 1.6 |
| 2 | 3.3 | 6.4 | 6.2 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| 3 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: BRE goals · Columns: LIV goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).