BHA vs EVE
Brighton & Hove Albion (home) vs Everton · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
BHA win 59.2% fair 1.69
Draw 21.5% fair 4.66
EVE win 19.3% fair 5.18
Expected Goals
BHA
1.99
—
0.98
EVE
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.1% | fair 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42.9% | fair 2.33 |
| Both teams to score | 54.0% | fair 1.85 |
Most Likely Scores
| BHA 1-0 EVE | 10.2% | |
| BHA 2-0 EVE | 10.1% | |
| BHA 1-1 EVE | 10.0% | |
| BHA 2-1 EVE | 10.0% | |
| BHA 3-0 EVE | 6.7% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 10.2 | 10.0 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.1 | 10.0 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: BHA goals · Columns: EVE goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).