CHE vs CRY
Chelsea (home) vs Crystal Palace · model confidence 80%
Match Outcome
CHE win 55.0% fair 1.82
Draw 22.1% fair 4.52
CRY win 22.9% fair 4.37
Expected Goals
CHE
1.95
—
1.14
CRY
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.5% | fair 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.5% | fair 2.47 |
| Both teams to score | 58.2% | fair 1.72 |
Most Likely Scores
| CHE 1-1 CRY | 10.1% | |
| CHE 2-1 CRY | 9.9% | |
| CHE 1-0 CRY | 8.9% | |
| CHE 2-0 CRY | 8.7% | |
| CHE 3-1 CRY | 6.4% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6 | 5.2 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.9 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.7 | 9.9 | 5.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.6 | 6.4 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: CHE goals · Columns: CRY goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).