CRY vs BHA
Crystal Palace (home) vs Brighton & Hove Albion · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
CRY win 29.5% fair 3.39
Draw 22.6% fair 4.43
BHA win 47.9% fair 2.09
Expected Goals
CRY
1.36
—
1.89
BHA
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.9% | fair 1.59 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37.1% | fair 2.70 |
| Both teams to score | 63.0% | fair 1.59 |
Most Likely Scores
| CRY 1-1 BHA | 10.0% | |
| CRY 1-2 BHA | 9.4% | |
| CRY 0-1 BHA | 7.3% | |
| CRY 0-2 BHA | 6.9% | |
| CRY 2-1 BHA | 6.8% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9 | 7.3 | 6.9 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| 1 | 5.3 | 10.0 | 9.4 | 5.9 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| 2 | 3.6 | 6.8 | 6.4 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| 3 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Rows: CRY goals · Columns: BHA goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).