CRY vs LIV
Crystal Palace (home) vs Liverpool · model confidence 83%
Match Outcome
CRY win 26.5% fair 3.77
Draw 23.1% fair 4.33
LIV win 50.4% fair 1.99
Expected Goals
CRY
1.17
—
1.82
LIV
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.4% | fair 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42.6% | fair 2.35 |
| Both teams to score | 57.8% | fair 1.73 |
Most Likely Scores
| CRY 1-1 LIV | 10.7% | |
| CRY 1-2 LIV | 9.7% | |
| CRY 0-1 LIV | 9.2% | |
| CRY 0-2 LIV | 8.3% | |
| CRY 2-1 LIV | 6.3% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0 | 9.2 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| 1 | 5.9 | 10.7 | 9.7 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| 2 | 3.5 | 6.3 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: CRY goals · Columns: LIV goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).