CRY vs NEW
Crystal Palace (home) vs Newcastle United · model confidence 80%
Match Outcome
CRY win 34.3% fair 2.91
Draw 24.4% fair 4.09
NEW win 41.2% fair 2.43
Expected Goals
CRY
1.35
—
1.57
NEW
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.0% | fair 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44.0% | fair 2.27 |
| Both teams to score | 58.7% | fair 1.70 |
Most Likely Scores
| CRY 1-1 NEW | 11.4% | |
| CRY 1-2 NEW | 9.0% | |
| CRY 0-1 NEW | 8.4% | |
| CRY 2-1 NEW | 7.7% | |
| CRY 1-0 NEW | 7.3% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4 | 8.4 | 6.6 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 7.3 | 11.4 | 9.0 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 4.9 | 7.7 | 6.1 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: CRY goals · Columns: NEW goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).