EVE vs BRE
Everton (home) vs Brentford · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
EVE win 37.1% fair 2.69
Draw 26.2% fair 3.82
BRE win 36.7% fair 2.73
Expected Goals
EVE
1.28
—
1.31
BRE
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.0% | fair 2.08 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52.0% | fair 1.92 |
| Both teams to score | 52.8% | fair 1.90 |
Most Likely Scores
| EVE 1-1 BRE | 12.6% | |
| EVE 0-1 BRE | 9.8% | |
| EVE 1-0 BRE | 9.6% | |
| EVE 1-2 BRE | 8.2% | |
| EVE 2-1 BRE | 8.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5 | 9.8 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 9.6 | 12.6 | 8.2 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 8.1 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.6 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: EVE goals · Columns: BRE goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).