EVE vs LIV
Everton (home) vs Liverpool · model confidence 82%
Match Outcome
EVE win 24.6% fair 4.07
Draw 23.2% fair 4.32
LIV win 52.2% fair 1.91
Expected Goals
EVE
1.06
—
1.80
LIV
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.6% | fair 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45.4% | fair 2.20 |
| Both teams to score | 54.6% | fair 1.83 |
Most Likely Scores
| EVE 1-1 LIV | 10.9% | |
| EVE 0-1 LIV | 10.3% | |
| EVE 1-2 LIV | 9.8% | |
| EVE 0-2 LIV | 9.3% | |
| EVE 1-0 LIV | 6.0% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7 | 10.3 | 9.3 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| 1 | 6.0 | 10.9 | 9.8 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| 2 | 3.2 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: EVE goals · Columns: LIV goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).