FUL vs TOT
Fulham (home) vs Tottenham Hotspur · model confidence 80% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
FUL win 38.9% fair 2.57
Draw 24.8% fair 4.03
TOT win 36.3% fair 2.75
Expected Goals
FUL
1.44
—
1.42
TOT
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.6% | fair 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45.4% | fair 2.20 |
| Both teams to score | 58.0% | fair 1.72 |
Most Likely Scores
| FUL 1-1 TOT | 11.7% | |
| FUL 2-1 TOT | 8.4% | |
| FUL 1-2 TOT | 8.3% | |
| FUL 1-0 TOT | 8.2% | |
| FUL 0-1 TOT | 8.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7 | 8.1 | 5.8 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 8.2 | 11.7 | 8.3 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.9 | 8.4 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: FUL goals · Columns: TOT goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).