LIV vs BHA
Liverpool (home) vs Brighton & Hove Albion · model confidence 82%
Match Outcome
LIV win 59.1% fair 1.69
Draw 20.3% fair 4.94
BHA win 20.6% fair 4.85
Expected Goals
LIV
2.22
—
1.18
BHA
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.0% | fair 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34.0% | fair 2.94 |
| Both teams to score | 61.8% | fair 1.62 |
Most Likely Scores
| LIV 2-1 BHA | 9.7% | |
| LIV 1-1 BHA | 8.8% | |
| LIV 2-0 BHA | 8.2% | |
| LIV 1-0 BHA | 7.4% | |
| LIV 3-1 BHA | 7.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.3 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.4 | 8.8 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.2 | 9.7 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 6.1 | 7.2 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 2.3 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Rows: LIV goals · Columns: BHA goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).