LIV vs FUL
Liverpool (home) vs Fulham · model confidence 82%
Match Outcome
LIV win 65.4% fair 1.53
Draw 18.5% fair 5.39
FUL win 16.0% fair 6.24
Expected Goals
LIV
2.37
—
0.99
FUL
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.3% | fair 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34.7% | fair 2.88 |
| Both teams to score | 57.1% | fair 1.75 |
Most Likely Scores
| LIV 2-0 FUL | 9.7% | |
| LIV 2-1 FUL | 9.7% | |
| LIV 1-0 FUL | 8.2% | |
| LIV 1-1 FUL | 8.2% | |
| LIV 3-0 FUL | 7.7% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 8.2 | 8.2 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 3.4 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: LIV goals · Columns: FUL goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).