LIV vs TOT
Liverpool (home) vs Tottenham Hotspur · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
LIV win 58.9% fair 1.70
Draw 21.1% fair 4.74
TOT win 20.0% fair 5.01
Expected Goals
LIV
2.06
—
1.06
TOT
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.2% | fair 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39.8% | fair 2.51 |
| Both teams to score | 56.9% | fair 1.76 |
Most Likely Scores
| LIV 2-1 TOT | 9.9% | |
| LIV 1-1 TOT | 9.7% | |
| LIV 2-0 TOT | 9.4% | |
| LIV 1-0 TOT | 9.1% | |
| LIV 3-1 TOT | 6.8% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.1 | 9.7 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.4 | 9.9 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.5 | 6.8 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: LIV goals · Columns: TOT goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).