TOT vs ARS
Tottenham Hotspur (home) vs Arsenal · model confidence 80%
Match Outcome
TOT win 20.7% fair 4.84
Draw 20.4% fair 4.91
ARS win 59.0% fair 1.70
Expected Goals
TOT
1.05
—
2.16
ARS
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.3% | fair 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37.7% | fair 2.65 |
| Both teams to score | 57.6% | fair 1.74 |
Most Likely Scores
| TOT 1-2 ARS | 9.9% | |
| TOT 0-2 ARS | 9.4% | |
| TOT 1-1 ARS | 9.1% | |
| TOT 0-1 ARS | 8.7% | |
| TOT 1-3 ARS | 7.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0 | 8.7 | 9.4 | 6.8 | 3.7 | 2.4 |
| 1 | 4.2 | 9.1 | 9.9 | 7.1 | 3.8 | 2.5 |
| 2 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| 3 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: TOT goals · Columns: ARS goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).