TOT vs CRY
Tottenham Hotspur (home) vs Crystal Palace · model confidence 81% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
TOT win 50.1% fair 2.00
Draw 22.9% fair 4.36
CRY win 27.0% fair 3.70
Expected Goals
TOT
1.84
—
1.28
CRY
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.3% | fair 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39.7% | fair 2.52 |
| Both teams to score | 60.7% | fair 1.65 |
Most Likely Scores
| TOT 1-1 CRY | 10.4% | |
| TOT 2-1 CRY | 9.6% | |
| TOT 1-0 CRY | 8.1% | |
| TOT 2-0 CRY | 7.5% | |
| TOT 1-2 CRY | 6.6% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.1 | 10.4 | 6.6 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 9.6 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 5.9 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: TOT goals · Columns: CRY goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).