TOT vs FUL
Tottenham Hotspur (home) vs Fulham · model confidence 80% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
TOT win 48.7% fair 2.05
Draw 23.9% fair 4.19
FUL win 27.4% fair 3.64
Expected Goals
TOT
1.71
—
1.20
FUL
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.6% | fair 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44.4% | fair 2.25 |
| Both teams to score | 57.3% | fair 1.75 |
Most Likely Scores
| TOT 1-1 FUL | 11.2% | |
| TOT 2-1 FUL | 9.5% | |
| TOT 1-0 FUL | 9.3% | |
| TOT 2-0 FUL | 7.9% | |
| TOT 1-2 FUL | 6.7% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4 | 6.6 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.3 | 11.2 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.9 | 9.5 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: TOT goals · Columns: FUL goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).