CRY vs RSO
Crystal Palace (home) vs Real Sociedad · model confidence 83%
Match Outcome
CRY win 52.3% fair 1.91
Draw 23.6% fair 4.24
RSO win 24.1% fair 4.15
Cross-league European prediction: domestic live ratings shifted by league-strength offsets. Domestic Power tables are not comparable across leagues.
Expected Goals
CRY
1.78
—
1.10
RSO
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.7% | fair 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45.3% | fair 2.21 |
| Both teams to score | 55.3% | fair 1.81 |
Most Likely Scores
| CRY 1-1 RSO | 11.0% | |
| CRY 1-0 RSO | 10.1% | |
| CRY 2-1 RSO | 9.8% | |
| CRY 2-0 RSO | 8.9% | |
| CRY 0-1 RSO | 6.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.1 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.9 | 9.8 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.3 | 5.8 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: CRY goals · Columns: RSO goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).
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