Ligue 1 Power Ratings
Two-dimensional team strength (attack / defense) fitted on xG process data, converted to match probabilities through a Dixon-Coles engine. Live: preseason baseline corrected by 9 played matches — see gameweek predictions.
Match Predictor
| # | Team | Power | Δ season | Attack | Defense | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG Paris Saint-Germain | 72.5 | ▼ 0.5 | 86% | ||
| 2 | RCL Lens | 66.1 | ▲ 1.1 | 80% | ||
| 3 | OM Marseille | 61.6 | ▲ 2.6 | 78% | ||
| 4 | LIL Lille | 60.1 | ▲ 1.1 | 80% | ||
| 5 | OL Lyon | 59.0 | ▲ 1.5 | 78% | ||
| 6 | REN Rennes | 55.0 | ▲ 0.5 | 78% | ||
| 7 | ASM Monaco | 53.6 | ▲ 0.6 | 76% | ||
| 8 | STR Strasbourg | 52.4 | ▼ 2.6 | 78% | ||
| 9 | TFC Toulouse | 49.0 | ▼ 1.5 | 76% | ||
| 10 | FCL Lorient | 48.8 | ▼ 0.2 | 75% | ||
| 11 | PFC Paris FC | 48.8 | ▼ 0.2 | 75% | ||
| 12 | SB29 Brest | 43.9 | ▼ 0.1 | 75% | ||
| 13 | HAC Le Havre | 42.9 | ▼ 0.6 | 75% | ||
| 14 | AJA Auxerre | 42.4 | ▼ 1.1 | 75% | ||
| 15 | SCO Angers | 39.4 | ▼ 1.1 | 75% | ||
| 16 | OGC Nice | 38.2 | ▲ 0.2 | 73% | ||
| 17 | EST Troyes | 36.2 | ▲ 0.2 | 56% | ||
| 18 | LMFC Le Mans | 34.1 | ▲ 0.1 | 54% |
Scale: 50 = league average; each point ≈ 1.5% multiplicative change in expected goal output. Power = (Attack + Defense) / 2, display only — predictions always use the two underlying parameters. Δ season = movement vs the preseason baseline from played matches (surprise vs model expectation, capped per match — one result is mostly variance). Promoted clubs start with low confidence; it rises with sample.