SCO vs HAC
Angers (home) vs Le Havre · model confidence 80% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
SCO win 40.5% fair 2.47
Draw 27.7% fair 3.62
HAC win 31.8% fair 3.14
Expected Goals
SCO
1.26
—
1.10
HAC
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.8% | fair 2.39 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58.2% | fair 1.72 |
| Both teams to score | 47.6% | fair 2.10 |
Most Likely Scores
| SCO 1-1 HAC | 13.1% | |
| SCO 1-0 HAC | 11.9% | |
| SCO 0-1 HAC | 10.4% | |
| SCO 0-0 HAC | 9.5% | |
| SCO 2-1 HAC | 8.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.5 | 10.4 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.9 | 13.1 | 7.2 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 8.2 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: SCO goals · Columns: HAC goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).