SCO vs RCL
Angers (home) vs Lens · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
SCO win 23.9% fair 4.18
Draw 23.1% fair 4.33
RCL win 53.0% fair 1.89
Expected Goals
SCO
1.05
—
1.84
RCL
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.2% | fair 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44.8% | fair 2.23 |
| Both teams to score | 54.7% | fair 1.83 |
Most Likely Scores
| SCO 1-1 RCL | 10.7% | |
| SCO 0-1 RCL | 10.2% | |
| SCO 1-2 RCL | 9.9% | |
| SCO 0-2 RCL | 9.4% | |
| SCO 1-3 RCL | 6.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 10.2 | 9.4 | 5.8 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| 1 | 5.8 | 10.7 | 9.9 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| 2 | 3.1 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: SCO goals · Columns: RCL goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).