SCO vs OL
Angers (home) vs Lyon · model confidence 81% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
SCO win 26.1% fair 3.83
Draw 25.2% fair 3.97
OL win 48.6% fair 2.06
Expected Goals
SCO
1.00
—
1.59
OL
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.9% | fair 2.09 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52.1% | fair 1.92 |
| Both teams to score | 50.3% | fair 1.99 |
Most Likely Scores
| SCO 0-1 OL | 11.9% | |
| SCO 1-1 OL | 11.9% | |
| SCO 0-2 OL | 9.5% | |
| SCO 1-2 OL | 9.5% | |
| SCO 0-0 OL | 7.5% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5 | 11.9 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 | 7.5 | 11.9 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 3.8 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: SCO goals · Columns: OL goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).