SCO vs STR
Angers (home) vs Strasbourg · model confidence 81% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
SCO win 33.9% fair 2.95
Draw 24.6% fair 4.06
STR win 41.4% fair 2.41
Expected Goals
SCO
1.35
—
1.58
STR
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.0% | fair 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44.0% | fair 2.27 |
| Both teams to score | 58.7% | fair 1.70 |
Most Likely Scores
| SCO 1-1 STR | 11.4% | |
| SCO 1-2 STR | 9.0% | |
| SCO 0-1 STR | 8.5% | |
| SCO 2-1 STR | 7.7% | |
| SCO 1-0 STR | 7.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4 | 8.5 | 6.7 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 7.2 | 11.4 | 9.0 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 4.9 | 7.7 | 6.1 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: SCO goals · Columns: STR goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).