SB29 vs PSG
Brest (home) vs Paris Saint-Germain · model confidence 81%
Match Outcome
SB29 win 21.3% fair 4.70
Draw 20.1% fair 4.96
PSG win 58.6% fair 1.71
Expected Goals
SB29
1.15
—
2.26
PSG
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.1% | fair 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.9% | fair 2.95 |
| Both teams to score | 61.1% | fair 1.64 |
Most Likely Scores
| SB29 1-2 PSG | 9.7% | |
| SB29 1-1 PSG | 8.6% | |
| SB29 0-2 PSG | 8.5% | |
| SB29 0-1 PSG | 7.5% | |
| SB29 1-3 PSG | 7.3% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.3 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 6.4 | 3.6 | 2.5 |
| 1 | 3.8 | 8.6 | 9.7 | 7.3 | 4.1 | 2.9 |
| 2 | 2.2 | 4.9 | 5.6 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 3 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Rows: SB29 goals · Columns: PSG goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).