SB29 vs REN
Brest (home) vs Rennes · model confidence 81% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
SB29 win 35.6% fair 2.81
Draw 22.1% fair 4.52
REN win 42.3% fair 2.36
Expected Goals
SB29
1.70
—
1.94
REN
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.5% | fair 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 29.5% | fair 3.39 |
| Both teams to score | 70.1% | fair 1.43 |
Most Likely Scores
| SB29 1-1 REN | 8.6% | |
| SB29 1-2 REN | 8.4% | |
| SB29 2-1 REN | 7.4% | |
| SB29 2-2 REN | 7.1% | |
| SB29 1-3 REN | 5.4% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.6 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 1 | 4.4 | 8.6 | 8.4 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| 2 | 3.8 | 7.4 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| 3 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
Rows: SB29 goals · Columns: REN goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).