HAC vs PSG
Le Havre (home) vs Paris Saint-Germain · model confidence 81%
Match Outcome
HAC win 21.3% fair 4.70
Draw 22.8% fair 4.39
PSG win 55.9% fair 1.79
Expected Goals
HAC
0.92
—
1.85
PSG
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.4% | fair 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47.6% | fair 2.10 |
| Both teams to score | 50.7% | fair 1.97 |
Most Likely Scores
| HAC 0-1 PSG | 11.6% | |
| HAC 0-2 PSG | 10.7% | |
| HAC 1-1 PSG | 10.6% | |
| HAC 1-2 PSG | 9.9% | |
| HAC 0-3 PSG | 6.6% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2 | 11.6 | 10.7 | 6.6 | 3.1 | 1.6 |
| 1 | 5.7 | 10.6 | 9.9 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| 2 | 2.6 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: HAC goals · Columns: PSG goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).