RCL vs REN
Lens (home) vs Rennes · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
RCL win 53.3% fair 1.88
Draw 20.9% fair 4.78
REN win 25.8% fair 3.88
Expected Goals
RCL
2.21
—
1.48
REN
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.2% | fair 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28.8% | fair 3.48 |
| Both teams to score | 68.7% | fair 1.46 |
Most Likely Scores
| RCL 2-1 REN | 9.0% | |
| RCL 1-1 REN | 8.2% | |
| RCL 2-2 REN | 6.7% | |
| RCL 3-1 REN | 6.7% | |
| RCL 2-0 REN | 6.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.5 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 5.5 | 8.2 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.1 | 9.0 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 2.5 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
Rows: RCL goals · Columns: REN goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).