OGC vs REN
Nice (home) vs Rennes · model confidence 80% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
OGC win 30.2% fair 3.31
Draw 22.7% fair 4.41
REN win 47.1% fair 2.12
Expected Goals
OGC
1.40
—
1.91
REN
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.2% | fair 1.56 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35.8% | fair 2.79 |
| Both teams to score | 64.1% | fair 1.56 |
Most Likely Scores
| OGC 1-1 REN | 9.8% | |
| OGC 1-2 REN | 9.3% | |
| OGC 0-1 REN | 7.0% | |
| OGC 2-1 REN | 6.8% | |
| OGC 0-2 REN | 6.7% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.7 | 7.0 | 6.7 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| 1 | 5.1 | 9.8 | 9.3 | 5.9 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| 2 | 3.6 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| 3 | 1.7 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Rows: OGC goals · Columns: REN goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).