PFC vs SCO
Paris FC (home) vs Angers · model confidence 80% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
PFC win 54.7% fair 1.83
Draw 23.6% fair 4.23
SCO win 21.7% fair 4.61
Expected Goals
PFC
1.77
—
0.98
SCO
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.9% | fair 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48.1% | fair 2.08 |
| Both teams to score | 51.9% | fair 1.93 |
Most Likely Scores
| PFC 1-0 SCO | 11.3% | |
| PFC 1-1 SCO | 11.1% | |
| PFC 2-0 SCO | 10.0% | |
| PFC 2-1 SCO | 9.8% | |
| PFC 0-0 SCO | 6.4% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.3 | 11.1 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.0 | 9.8 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.9 | 5.8 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: PFC goals · Columns: SCO goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).