REN vs SCO
Rennes (home) vs Angers · model confidence 81% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
REN win 60.8% fair 1.65
Draw 20.3% fair 4.93
SCO win 18.9% fair 5.28
Expected Goals
REN
2.21
—
1.09
SCO
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.2% | fair 1.56 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35.8% | fair 2.80 |
| Both teams to score | 59.3% | fair 1.69 |
Most Likely Scores
| REN 2-1 SCO | 9.8% | |
| REN 2-0 SCO | 9.0% | |
| REN 1-1 SCO | 8.9% | |
| REN 1-0 SCO | 8.1% | |
| REN 3-1 SCO | 7.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.1 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.0 | 9.8 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.6 | 7.2 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 2.5 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: REN goals · Columns: SCO goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).