REN vs SB29
Rennes (home) vs Brest · model confidence 81% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
REN win 56.4% fair 1.77
Draw 20.2% fair 4.95
SB29 win 23.4% fair 4.28
Expected Goals
REN
2.33
—
1.42
SB29
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.3% | fair 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 27.7% | fair 3.61 |
| Both teams to score | 68.5% | fair 1.46 |
Most Likely Scores
| REN 2-1 SB29 | 9.1% | |
| REN 1-1 SB29 | 7.8% | |
| REN 3-1 SB29 | 7.0% | |
| REN 2-2 SB29 | 6.4% | |
| REN 2-0 SB29 | 6.4% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 5.5 | 7.8 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.4 | 9.1 | 6.4 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 2.1 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
Rows: REN goals · Columns: SB29 goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).