REN vs HAC
Rennes (home) vs Le Havre · model confidence 81% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
REN win 59.0% fair 1.69
Draw 21.0% fair 4.76
HAC win 20.0% fair 5.01
Expected Goals
REN
2.12
—
1.10
HAC
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.4% | fair 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37.6% | fair 2.66 |
| Both teams to score | 58.6% | fair 1.71 |
Most Likely Scores
| REN 2-1 HAC | 9.9% | |
| REN 1-1 HAC | 9.3% | |
| REN 2-0 HAC | 9.0% | |
| REN 1-0 HAC | 8.5% | |
| REN 3-1 HAC | 7.0% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.5 | 9.3 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.0 | 9.9 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.4 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: REN goals · Columns: HAC goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).