REN vs OL
Rennes (home) vs Lyon · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
REN win 41.0% fair 2.44
Draw 23.4% fair 4.28
OL win 35.6% fair 2.81
Expected Goals
REN
1.69
—
1.59
OL
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.6% | fair 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36.4% | fair 2.75 |
| Both teams to score | 64.9% | fair 1.54 |
Most Likely Scores
| REN 1-1 OL | 10.1% | |
| REN 2-1 OL | 8.5% | |
| REN 1-2 OL | 8.0% | |
| REN 2-2 OL | 6.8% | |
| REN 1-0 OL | 6.4% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.8 | 6.0 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 6.4 | 10.1 | 8.0 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 5.4 | 8.5 | 6.8 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Rows: REN goals · Columns: OL goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).