REN vs OGC
Rennes (home) vs Nice · model confidence 80% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
REN win 60.6% fair 1.65
Draw 20.0% fair 5.01
OGC win 19.5% fair 5.14
Expected Goals
REN
2.29
—
1.16
OGC
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.1% | fair 1.49 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32.9% | fair 3.04 |
| Both teams to score | 61.8% | fair 1.62 |
Most Likely Scores
| REN 2-1 OGC | 9.6% | |
| REN 1-1 OGC | 8.4% | |
| REN 2-0 OGC | 8.3% | |
| REN 3-1 OGC | 7.4% | |
| REN 1-0 OGC | 7.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.2 | 8.4 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.3 | 9.6 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 6.3 | 7.4 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 2.6 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Rows: REN goals · Columns: OGC goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).